Football AI Beta - Research Preview - Statistical analyses are continuously improving.
FAFootball AI

Scottish Premiership - 2024/2025

Historical record
Hearts crest

Hearts

Kickoff

2024-11-23 19:45:00

VS

1 - 4

Celtic crest

Celtic

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

Away win

Medium confidence, strongest supported indicator: Over 1.5 goals.

Expected goals

Hearts: 0.8
Celtic: 2.1

Home xG / Away xG

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-501-23690-v1

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

50%

Confidence

Medium confidence

Review context

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home8%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw18%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away74%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.586%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.552%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS63%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours away win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours away win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Market intelligence

Goals, corners and discipline signals

A separate explanation layer for match markets. These signals do not change Analysis Engine V1 and are not bookmaker odds.

Goals outlook

Active

V1 expects 2.9 total goals. Local team samples average 2.97 total goals in matches involving these sides.

Over 1.586%
Over 2.552%
BTTS63%

1X2 balance

Active

The winner market remains separated from goals markets, so a high goal signal does not automatically mean a strong home or away call.

Home8%
Draw18%
Away74%

Corners outlook

Imported

Imported historical sample suggests 12.33 combined team corners per match across the current market dataset.

Hearts72%

6 avg corners

Celtic76%

6.33 avg corners

Sample60%

6 matches max

Cards and possession

Imported

Imported discipline sample rates this matchup around 5.33 weighted cards. Possession averages are shown when available.

Cards risk100%

Medium/High risk labels

Hearts53%

Avg possession

Celtic60%

Avg possession

Risk review

Risk and uncertainty signals

Short caution signals that explain why the analysis remains measured. These do not change the V1 prediction.

Draw tendency sample

16%

Combined draw share across both team samples.

Model draw probability18%

V1 draw estimate shown for transparency.

Confidence caution

Standard

Still not a guarantee or betting recommendation.

Confidence50%

Manual publication remains required.

Historical sample context

152 matches

Current-season form will appear separately after Sportmonks current-season imports are expanded.

Historical team baseline

Longer-term profile from completed local datasets: 2024/2025, 2025/2026. Current-season signals appear separately when Sportmonks match data is available.

HeartsMetricCeltic
1.74
Overall PPG
2.29
1.57
Goals for
2.42
1.07
Goals against
0.88
76
Sample
76

Hearts form

WWDWL

PPG 1.74 - GF 119 - GA 81

Celtic form

WWWWW

PPG 2.29 - GF 184 - GA 67

Hearts win rate51%
Celtic win rate72%
Draw share sample16%

Home team signal

Hearts

WWDWL

Points profile

1.74 PPG

39W 15D 22L sample

Goals for

1.57

119 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.07

81 conceded across local sample

Win share51%
Draw share20%
Loss share29%

Away team signal

Celtic

WWWWW

Points profile

2.29 PPG

55W 9D 12L sample

Goals for

2.42

184 scored across local sample

Goals against

0.88

67 conceded across local sample

Win share72%
Draw share12%
Loss share16%

Match timeline

Key match events

Goals, cards, VAR and substitutions appear only when verified Sportmonks event data exists locally.

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