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FAFootball AI

Scottish Premiership - 2024/2025

Historical record
Dundee United crest

Dundee United

Kickoff

2024-11-30 15:00:00

VS

2 - 0

St. Mirren crest

St. Mirren

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

No clear favourite

Highest 1X2 estimate 47%. Confidence is low, so the UI avoids a strong recommendation.

Expected goals

Dundee United: 1.9
St. Mirren: 1.2

Home xG / Away xG

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-501-23690-v1

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

36%

Confidence

Low confidence

Cautious estimate

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home47%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw28%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away25%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.589%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.557%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS70%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Market intelligence

Goals, corners and discipline signals

A separate explanation layer for match markets. These signals do not change Analysis Engine V1 and are not bookmaker odds.

Goals outlook

Active

V1 expects 3.1 total goals. Local team samples average 2.64 total goals in matches involving these sides.

Over 1.589%
Over 2.557%
BTTS70%

1X2 balance

Active

The winner market remains separated from goals markets, so a high goal signal does not automatically mean a strong home or away call.

Home47%
Draw28%
Away25%

Corners outlook

Imported

Imported historical sample suggests 9.67 combined team corners per match across the current market dataset.

Dundee United50%

4.17 avg corners

St. Mirren66%

5.5 avg corners

Sample60%

6 matches max

Cards and possession

Imported

Imported discipline sample rates this matchup around 4.49 weighted cards. Possession averages are shown when available.

Cards risk90%

Medium/Medium risk labels

Dundee United51%

Avg possession

St. Mirren53%

Avg possession

Risk review

Risk and uncertainty signals

Short caution signals that explain why the analysis remains measured. These do not change the V1 prediction.

Draw tendency sample

28%

Combined draw share across both team samples.

Model draw probability28%

V1 draw estimate shown for transparency.

Confidence caution

Cautious

Low-confidence analysis should avoid strong wording.

Confidence36%

Manual publication remains required.

Historical sample context

152 matches

Current-season form will appear separately after Sportmonks current-season imports are expanded.

Historical team baseline

Longer-term profile from completed local datasets: 2024/2025, 2025/2026. Current-season signals appear separately when Sportmonks match data is available.

Dundee UnitedMetricSt. Mirren
1.26
Overall PPG
1.12
1.22
Goals for
1.09
1.49
Goals against
1.49
76
Sample
76

Dundee United form

WLLDD

PPG 1.26 - GF 93 - GA 113

St. Mirren form

LLLWD

PPG 1.12 - GF 83 - GA 113

Dundee United win rate32%
St. Mirren win rate29%
Draw share sample28%

Home team signal

Dundee United

WLLDD

Points profile

1.26 PPG

24W 24D 28L sample

Goals for

1.22

93 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.49

113 conceded across local sample

Win share32%
Draw share32%
Loss share37%

Away team signal

St. Mirren

LLLWD

Points profile

1.12 PPG

22W 19D 35L sample

Goals for

1.09

83 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.49

113 conceded across local sample

Win share29%
Draw share25%
Loss share46%

Match timeline

Key match events

Goals, cards, VAR and substitutions appear only when verified Sportmonks event data exists locally.

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