Expected goals
1.6 - 1.1
Model estimate
Scottish Premiership · 2024/2025
Historical record
St. Mirren
Kickoff
2025-02-01 15:00:00
VS
0 - 1
St. Johnstone
Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset
Intelligence overview
No clear favourite
Highest 1X2 estimate 50%. Confidence is low, so the UI avoids a strong recommendation.
Model
analysis-v1
sportmonks-football-501-23690-v1
Publication
historical
Public view hides drafts
38%
Confidence
Probability board
Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.
Home50%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Draw27%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Away23%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 1.583%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
Over 2.548%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
BTTS68%
Model-estimated probability, not odds.
A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.
Evidence engine
Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.
Form
The model favours home win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Attack
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Defence
Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Home/Away
The model favours home win from pre-match team context.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
League context
Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Schedule/rest
Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.
Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset
Team comparison
Historical context from 2024/2025, 2025/2026 and 2024/2025.
St. MirrenMetricSt. Johnstone
1.12
Overall PPG0.84
1.09
Goals for1
1.49
Goals against1.79
76
Sample38
St. Mirren form
LLLWD
PPG 1.12 · GF 83 · GA 113
St. Johnstone form
LLWLL
PPG 0.84 · GF 38 · GA 68
St. Mirren win rate29%
St. Johnstone win rate24%
Draw share sample21%
AI MATCH ANALYSIS
Generated from verified statistical data
Detailed AI analysis is being prepared
Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.
Related intelligence
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- 4Hearts vs St. Johnstone2026-08-29 14:00:00Scottish Premiership