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FAFootball AI

Scottish Premiership · 2024/2025

Historical record
Dundee crest

Dundee

Kickoff

2025-05-14 18:45:00

VS

1 - 1

Ross County crest

Ross County

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

Home win

Low confidence, strongest supported indicator: Over 1.5 goals.

Expected goals

1.8 - 1.3

Model estimate

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-501-23690-v1

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

46%

Confidence

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home51%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw27%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away22%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.589%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.557%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS74%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2024/2025 / local dataset

Market intelligence

Goals, corners and discipline signals

A separate explanation layer for match markets. These signals do not change Analysis Engine V1 and are not bookmaker odds.

Goals outlook

Active

V1 expects 3.1 total goals. Local team samples average 2.97 total goals in matches involving these sides.

Over 1.589%
Over 2.557%
BTTS74%

1X2 balance

Active

The winner market remains separated from goals markets, so a high goal signal does not automatically mean a strong home or away call.

Home51%
Draw27%
Away22%

Corners outlook

Source verified

Sportmonks returned corner statistics in the access audit. Per-team corner trends are not available for this fixture yet.

Cards and possession

Source verified

Sportmonks returned yellow cards, red cards and ball-possession statistics in the access audit. Match-specific trend import is pending.

Risk review

Risk and uncertainty signals

Short caution signals that explain why the analysis remains measured. These do not change the V1 prediction.

Draw tendency sample

24%

Combined draw share across both team samples.

Model draw probability27%

V1 draw estimate shown for transparency.

Confidence caution

Standard

Still not a guarantee or betting recommendation.

Confidence46%

Manual publication remains required.

Historical sample context

114 matches

Current-season form will appear separately after Sportmonks current-season imports are expanded.

Historical team baseline

Longer-term profile from completed local datasets: 2024/2025, 2025/2026. Current-season signals appear separately when Sportmonks match data is available.

DundeeMetricRoss County
1.09
Overall PPG
0.97
1.3
Goals for
0.97
1.82
Goals against
1.71
76
Sample
38

Dundee form

LWWLW

PPG 1.09 · GF 99 · GA 138

Ross County form

LLLDD

PPG 0.97 · GF 37 · GA 65

Dundee win rate29%
Ross County win rate24%
Draw share sample24%

Home team signal

Dundee

LWWLW

Points profile

1.09 PPG

22W 17D 37L sample

Goals for

1.3

99 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.82

138 conceded across local sample

Win share29%
Draw share22%
Loss share49%

Away team signal

Ross County

LLLDD

Points profile

0.97 PPG

9W 10D 19L sample

Goals for

0.97

37 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.71

65 conceded across local sample

Win share24%
Draw share26%
Loss share50%

Match timeline

Key match events

Goals, cards, VAR and substitutions appear only when verified Sportmonks event data exists locally.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

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