Football AI Beta - Research Preview - Statistical analyses are continuously improving.
FAFootball AI

Scottish Premiership - 2025/2026

Historical record
Rangers crest

Rangers

Kickoff

2026-01-06 20:00:00

VS

2 - 0

Aberdeen crest

Aberdeen

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

Home win

Low confidence, strongest supported indicator: Over 1.5 goals.

Expected goals

Rangers: 1.3
Aberdeen: 0.8

Home xG / Away xG

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-501-25598-v3

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

48%

Confidence

Medium confidence

Review context

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home54%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw26%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away20%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.574%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.533%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS59%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours home win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled low, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Market intelligence

Goals, corners and discipline signals

A separate explanation layer for match markets. These signals do not change Analysis Engine V1 and are not bookmaker odds.

Goals outlook

Active

V1 expects 2.1 total goals. Local team samples average 2.92 total goals in matches involving these sides.

Over 1.574%
Over 2.533%
BTTS59%

1X2 balance

Active

The winner market remains separated from goals markets, so a high goal signal does not automatically mean a strong home or away call.

Home54%
Draw26%
Away20%

Corners outlook

Imported

Imported historical sample suggests 9.67 combined team corners per match across the current market dataset.

Rangers68%

5.67 avg corners

Aberdeen48%

4 avg corners

Sample60%

6 matches max

Cards and possession

Imported

Imported discipline sample rates this matchup around 2.83 weighted cards. Possession averages are shown when available.

Cards risk57%

Medium/Low risk labels

Rangers54%

Avg possession

Aberdeen50%

Avg possession

Risk review

Risk and uncertainty signals

Short caution signals that explain why the analysis remains measured. These do not change the V1 prediction.

Draw tendency sample

24%

Combined draw share across both team samples.

Model draw probability26%

V1 draw estimate shown for transparency.

Confidence caution

Standard

Still not a guarantee or betting recommendation.

Confidence48%

Manual publication remains required.

Historical sample context

152 matches

Current-season form will appear separately after Sportmonks current-season imports are expanded.

Historical team baseline

Longer-term profile from completed local datasets: 2024/2025, 2025/2026. Current-season signals appear separately when Sportmonks match data is available.

RangersMetricAberdeen
1.93
Overall PPG
1.22
2.05
Goals for
1.16
1.11
Goals against
1.53
76
Sample
76

Rangers form

LLLLW

PPG 1.93 - GF 156 - GA 84

Aberdeen form

WDWLL

PPG 1.22 - GF 88 - GA 116

Rangers win rate55%
Aberdeen win rate34%
Draw share sample24%

Home team signal

Rangers

LLLLW

Points profile

1.93 PPG

42W 21D 13L sample

Goals for

2.05

156 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.11

84 conceded across local sample

Win share55%
Draw share28%
Loss share17%

Away team signal

Aberdeen

WDWLL

Points profile

1.22 PPG

26W 15D 35L sample

Goals for

1.16

88 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.53

116 conceded across local sample

Win share34%
Draw share20%
Loss share46%

Match timeline

Key match events

Goals, cards, VAR and substitutions appear only when verified Sportmonks event data exists locally.

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