Football AI Beta · Research Preview · Statistical analyses are continuously improving.
FAFootball AI

Superliga · 2025/2026

Historical record
Fredericia crest

Fredericia

Kickoff

2026-05-03 14:00:00

VS

3 - 3

FC København crest

FC København

Fixture: HistoricalLifecycle: historicalData: historical dataset

Intelligence overview

Away win

Medium confidence, strongest supported indicator: Over 1.5 goals.

Expected goals

1.2 - 2

Model estimate

Model

analysis-v1

sportmonks-football-271-25536-v1

Publication

historical

Public view hides drafts

59%

Confidence

Probability board

Exact model percentages, never bookmaker odds.

Home18%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Draw23%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Away59%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 1.590%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

Over 2.560%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

BTTS73%

Model-estimated probability, not odds.

A probability is an estimated chance from the local model context. It is not an outcome promise and is not bookmaker odds.

Evidence engine

Reasons are grouped for readability using available local data context.

Form

The model favours away win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Attack

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Defence

Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Home/Away

The model favours away win from pre-match team context.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

League context

Over 1.5 goals is the strongest supported indicator.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Schedule/rest

Confidence is labelled medium, so this estimate should be treated cautiously.

Source context: 2025/2026 / local dataset

Market intelligence

Goals, corners and discipline signals

A separate explanation layer for match markets. These signals do not change Analysis Engine V1 and are not bookmaker odds.

Goals outlook

Active

V1 expects 3.2 total goals. Local team samples average 3.3 total goals in matches involving these sides.

Over 1.590%
Over 2.560%
BTTS73%

1X2 balance

Active

The winner market remains separated from goals markets, so a high goal signal does not automatically mean a strong home or away call.

Home18%
Draw23%
Away59%

Corners outlook

Imported

Imported historical sample suggests 11.57 combined team corners per match across the current market dataset.

Fredericia72%

6 avg corners

FC København67%

5.57 avg corners

Sample70%

7 matches max

Cards and possession

Imported

Imported discipline sample rates this matchup around 3 weighted cards. Possession averages are shown when available.

Cards risk60%

Low/Low risk labels

Fredericia50%

Avg possession

FC København54%

Avg possession

Risk review

Risk and uncertainty signals

Short caution signals that explain why the analysis remains measured. These do not change the V1 prediction.

Draw tendency sample

23%

Combined draw share across both team samples.

Model draw probability23%

V1 draw estimate shown for transparency.

Confidence caution

Standard

Still not a guarantee or betting recommendation.

Confidence59%

Manual publication remains required.

Historical sample context

96 matches

Current-season form will appear separately after Sportmonks current-season imports are expanded.

Historical team baseline

Longer-term profile from completed local datasets: 2025/2026, 2024/2025. Current-season signals appear separately when Sportmonks match data is available.

FredericiaMetricFC København
1.06
Overall PPG
1.78
1.41
Goals for
1.98
2.13
Goals against
1.2
32
Sample
64

Fredericia form

DLDLW

PPG 1.06 · GF 45 · GA 68

FC København form

WWDWW

PPG 1.78 · GF 127 · GA 77

Fredericia win rate28%
FC København win rate52%
Draw share sample23%

Home team signal

Fredericia

DLDLW

Points profile

1.06 PPG

9W 7D 16L sample

Goals for

1.41

45 scored across local sample

Goals against

2.13

68 conceded across local sample

Win share28%
Draw share22%
Loss share50%

Away team signal

FC København

WWDWW

Points profile

1.78 PPG

33W 15D 16L sample

Goals for

1.98

127 scored across local sample

Goals against

1.2

77 conceded across local sample

Win share52%
Draw share23%
Loss share25%

Match timeline

Key match events

Goals, cards, VAR and substitutions appear only when verified Sportmonks event data exists locally.

AI MATCH ANALYSIS

Generated from verified statistical data

Detailed AI analysis is being prepared

Private AI draft text is hidden until numerical prediction approval, AI validation and manual AI review are complete.

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